Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Nejmeh
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Al Ansar Beirut. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Al Ansar BeirutGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon League (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al Ansar Beirut's attacking profile.
Al Ansar Beirut – Al Nejmeh Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik - IA Akranes | 2.36 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Buzios - Barra Mansa | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Jeonbuk Motors - Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 21 Jul 12:30 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| Hajduk Split - Pafos FC | 1 | 2.26 | 1.59% | 23 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| AaB - Hillerød | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 24 Jul 19:00 |