Al Ansar Beirut – Al Nejmeh

Model: TIPPSH

Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Nejmeh

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 20, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 12h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Ansar Beirut. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Ansar BeirutGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.19Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al Ansar BeirutHOME
VS
Al NejmehAWAY
DWDWW
Recent form
DWDWW
Avg goals scored
3.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.20
Shots on target for
7.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
2.00
Home splitD-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-W-L1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon League (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.17
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Al Ansar Beirut's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 38.8% 7D: 23.0% 15D: 16.8% 30D: 20.5%
Model insight

Al Ansar Beirut – Al Nejmeh Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Lug 20, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 12h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 21h 9m ago
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