Model: TIPPSH
Tepatitlan FC vs Alacranes de Durango
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.70
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 25, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 1h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.04% · n=271
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Tepatitlan FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Tepatitlan FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
3/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current1.70Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Tepatitlan FCHOME
VS
Alacranes de DurangoAWAY
LWWDD
Recent form
DLWDD
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
3.60
2.67
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
2.00
Home splitW-W-D-W-W1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-D1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.04% based on n=271 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga de Expansion (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.70
V2 BandNONEROI -6.04% · n=271
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.6%
7D: 24.7%
15D: 19.3%
30D: 21.4%
Model insight
Tepatitlan FC – Alacranes de Durango Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.04% across 271 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample224
Win Rate58.0%
Profit-5.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Stranraer - FC Edinburgh | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Hanworth Villa - Kingstonian | 1.67 | -4.66% |
| WIN | East Fife - Linlithgow Rose | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | ABB U19 - The Strongest U19 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Suduva Marijampole - Hegelmann Litauen | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Japan Soccer College - Artista Asama | 1.71 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Avondale U23 - St Albans Saints U23 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Nottm Forest - Blackburn | 1 | 1.74 | -6.04% | 22 Jul 12:00 |
| Nautico - Londrina | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 23 Jul 02:30 |
| Tromso - Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 23 Jul 19:00 |
| Kerry FC - Finn Harps | 1 | 1.71 | -10.11% | 24 Jul 20:45 |
| Haugesund - Bryne | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.70
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -6.04% • n=271
Start
Starts in 3d 1h
Updated
Updated 9m ago