FC Fredericia – HB Køge

Model: TIPPSH

FC Fredericia vs HB Køge

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.66
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 3h 45m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Fredericia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC FredericiaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.005 | A: -0.059

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current1.66Now
Max odds1.66Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC FredericiaHOME
VS
HB KøgeAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LLWLL
Avg goals scored
2.80
0.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
7.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.80
Home splitW-W-W-D-L2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 1 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.66
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Fredericia's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -8.5% 7D: 25.4% 15D: 15.1% 30D: 21.7%
Model insight

FC Fredericia – HB Køge Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample238
Win Rate58.0%
Profit-6.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSIsloch - FC Baranovichi1.74-7.35%
LOSSZawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew1.69-9.21%
LOSSLaval - Concarneau1.75-9.21%
WINAlianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas1.68-7.35%
WINHonefoss - Skeid1.71-9.21%
WINTikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi1.73-7.35%
LOSSHerediano - Puntarenas1.63-9.21%
WINTerengganu U20 - Penang U201.63-7.35%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC11.63-7.35%05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia11.70-9.21%07 Jun 18:00
Haugesund - Bryne11.65-9.21%25 Jul 20:00
CA Estudiantes Caseros - Club Ciudad de Bolivar11.68-6.04%25 Jul 20:00
Sporting - Monaco11.65-9.21%25 Jul 20:30
Rockdale Ilinden FC - Sutherland Sharks11.67-9.21%26 Jul 07:00
Yanbian Longding - Meizhou Hakka11.65-9.21%26 Jul 12:00
Incheon Utd - Bucheon11.74-7.35%26 Jul 12:30
Pick
1 @ 1.66
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 3h 45m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 47m ago
Torna in alto