Sporting vs Monaco
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sporting. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SportingGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.104 | A: -0.035Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Sporting showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Sporting – Monaco Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Alianza Atletico - CD Los Chankas | 1.68 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Tikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Herediano - Puntarenas | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Terengganu U20 - Penang U20 | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Tepatitlan FC - Alacranes de Durango | 1.70 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Nottm Forest - Blackburn | 1.74 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Stranraer - FC Edinburgh | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Aston Villa U21 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Laval - Concarneau | 1 | 1.75 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 11:00 |
| Honefoss - Skeid | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 14:00 |
| FC Fredericia - HB Køge | 1 | 1.62 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokol Kleczew | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 19:00 |
| Haugesund - Bryne | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 25 Jul 20:00 |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros - Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 1 | 1.68 | -6.04% | 25 Jul 20:00 |