Alianza Atletico – CD Los Chankas

Model: TIPPSH

Alianza Atletico vs CD Los Chankas

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.69
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 25, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 3h 1m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alianza Atletico. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Alianza AtleticoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.048 | A: 0.071

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current1.69Now
Max odds2.05Highest point
Min odds1.64Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Alianza AtleticoHOME
VS
CD Los ChankasAWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
5.40
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
6.80
Home splitW-W-W-D-L1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-D0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.69
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Alianza Atletico as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -7.1% 7D: 31.0% 15D: 18.3% 30D: 24.1%
Model insight

Alianza Atletico – CD Los Chankas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample232
Win Rate58.6%
Profit-3.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTikves Kavadarci - KF Arsimi1.73-7.35%
LOSSHerediano - Puntarenas1.63-9.21%
WINTerengganu U20 - Penang U201.63-7.35%
WINNottm Forest - Blackburn1.74-6.04%
LOSSStranraer - FC Edinburgh1.63-9.21%
LOSSTamworth - Aston Villa U211.68-9.21%
WINHanworth Villa - Kingstonian1.67-4.66%
WINEast Fife - Linlithgow Rose1.68-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.69
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 3h 1m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 25m ago
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