Model: TIPPSH
Grei vs Konnerud
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 25, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3h 52m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Grei. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GreiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
39/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.17First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.24Highest point
Min odds2.17Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
GreiHOME
VS
KonnerudAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
4.20
2.80
Shots on target for
3.80
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
8.80
Home splitL-L-W-L-D3.60 scored / 4.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L1.20 scored / 3.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 14.8%
7D: 32.7%
15D: 22.6%
30D: 25.7%
Model insight
Grei – Konnerud Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample233
Win Rate43.8%
Profit-17.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Green Gully U23 - Dandenong City U23 | 2.22 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Chester - Stoke U21 | 2.36 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Crusaders - Glenavon | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| WIN | CS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Otelul Galati | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Cuiaba - Atletico GO | 2.26 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Braga - Celta Vigo | 2.03 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| Girona - CD Alaves | 1 | 2.45 | 2.49% | 25 Jul 10:30 |
| MMU - UITM Perlis | 1 | 2.26 | 2.49% | 25 Jul 10:45 |
| Queen's Park - Queen of South | 1 | 2.01 | 3.37% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| CD Universidad San Martin - Carlos Manucci | 1 | 2.10 | 3.37% | 25 Jul 18:00 |
| Lucerne - FC Thun | 1 | 2.31 | 2.49% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Phoenix Rising FC - Hartford Athletic | 1 | 2.09 | 3.37% | 26 Jul 04:30 |
| Wisla Krakow - GKS Katowice | 1 | 2.38 | 2.49% | 26 Jul 20:15 |
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 3h 52m
Updated
Updated 11m ago