Dag & Red vs Buxton
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Dag & Red. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Dag & RedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.080 | A: 0.054Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.54. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Dag & Red. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Dag & Red – Buxton Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | MSK Zilina B - FC Petrzalka | 2.62 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Girona - CD Alaves | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | SV Wienerberg - SC Wiener Viktoria | 2.75 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Chester - Stoke U21 | 2.36 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Crusaders - Glenavon | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Lucerne - FC Thun | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Hammarby - Anderlecht | 2.49 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Dynamo Kiev - PAOK Salonika | 2.54 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow - GKS Katowice | 1 | 2.38 | 2.49% | 26 Jul 20:15 |
| America MG - Goias | 1 | 2.54 | 2.49% | 26 Jul 23:30 |