Sarpsborg – Ham-Kam

Model: TIPPSH

Sarpsborg vs Ham-Kam

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.69
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 1d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sarpsborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SarpsborgGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.014 | A: 0.025

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.89First seen
Current1.69Now
Max odds1.89Highest point
Min odds1.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SarpsborgHOME
VS
Ham-KamAWAY
WDWLW
Recent form
LLLDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.20
Shots on target for
4.00
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.00
Home splitW-W-W-W-L1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-D1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Eliteserien (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.69
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Sarpsborg has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -18.3% 7D: 0.9% 15D: 9.0% 30D: 19.9%
Model insight

Sarpsborg – Ham-Kam Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample254
Win Rate57.1%
Profit-10.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSCA San Miguel - Acassuso1.74-9.21%
WINTobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau1.71-4.66%
WINPPJ U21 - Atlantis U211.67-9.21%
LOSSMoss - Raufoss1.68-4.66%
WINPalmerston Rovers FC - Garuda FC1.66-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.69
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 1d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
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