Fortaleza vs Botafogo SP
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fortaleza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FortalezaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.005 | A: 0.175Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Fortaleza – Botafogo SP Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Tamworth - Macclesfield | 1.86 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Neftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Police AC - Aryan FC | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CA Tigre - Nacional De Football | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cruzeiro - Botafogo | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Asane Fotball U19 - Sandefjord U19 | 1 | 2.09 | 1.04% | 29 Jul 13:00 |
| Stromsgodset U19 - Tromso U19 | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 29 Jul 17:30 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 01:00 |
| Forward Madison FC - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 02:00 |
| Instituto AC Cordoba - Platense | 1 | 2.13 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 02:30 |