FC Ilves – Stjarnan

Model: TIPPSH

FC Ilves vs Stjarnan

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 30, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 9h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Ilves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC IlvesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.089 | A: -0.079

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.74First seen
Current1.79Now
Max odds1.83Highest point
Min odds1.74Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC IlvesHOME
VS
StjarnanAWAY
WLWWD
Recent form
LWLDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.60
Shots on target for
4.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.20
Home splitW-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D-L1.20 scored / 3.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.79
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FC Ilves. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -22.6% 7D: -2.1% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 16.1%
Model insight

FC Ilves – Stjarnan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
Neftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan11.781.31%28 Jul 17:00
Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough11.761.31%28 Jul 20:45
Tamworth - Macclesfield11.861.31%28 Jul 20:45
Fortaleza - Botafogo SP11.841.31%29 Jul 02:35
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa11.921.04%30 Jul 01:00
Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense11.981.04%31 Jul 00:30
CD Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos11.831.04%31 Jul 22:00
Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Lug 30, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 2d 9h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
Torna in alto