Farnborough vs Portsmouth
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Farnborough. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FarnboroughGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.097 | A: -0.072Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Farnborough. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Farnborough is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Farnborough – Portsmouth Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dag & Red - Boreham Wood | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Persebaya Surabaya - Persija Jakarta | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Zulte-Waregem - Sparta Rotterdam | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK BE1 | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Carapegua - General Caballero JLM | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Athlone Town (W) - Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | ONS (W) - FC Honka (W) | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | CSD Flandria - Excursionistas | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caracas - Independiente Santa Fe | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 31 Jul 02:30 |