Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Philadelphia Union. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Philadelphia UnionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.070 | A: -0.145Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Philadelphia Union has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Philadelphia Union – Atlanta United Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Club Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri | 1.75 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | San Diego Wave (W) - Reign FC (W) | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | CA San Miguel - Acassuso | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Tobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau | 1.71 | -4.66% |
| WIN | PPJ U21 - Atlantis U21 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Moss - Raufoss | 1.68 | -4.66% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum Zarafshon | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 28 Jul 17:00 |
| Crusaders - Newington FC | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 28 Jul 20:45 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 31 Jul 17:30 |
| LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 31 Jul 18:00 |
| Slovan Liberec - FK Teplice | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 17:00 |