Philadelphia Union – Atlanta United

Model: TIPPSH

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.71
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d 9h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Philadelphia Union. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Philadelphia UnionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.070 | A: -0.145

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.74First seen
Current1.71Now
Max odds1.74Highest point
Min odds1.71Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Philadelphia UnionHOME
VS
Atlanta UnitedAWAY
WWLDL
Recent form
LDLLL
Avg goals scored
2.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
2.40
2.60
Shots on target for
7.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.60
Home splitW-W-D-D-D1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.71
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Philadelphia Union has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -44.5% 7D: -2.5% 15D: 11.0% 30D: 15.7%
Model insight

Philadelphia Union – Atlanta United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample255
Win Rate56.9%
Profit-11.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSHonduras U20 - Jamaica U201.63-9.21%
LOSSKA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri1.75-7.35%
LOSSSan Diego Wave (W) - Reign FC (W)1.62-7.35%
LOSSCA San Miguel - Acassuso1.74-9.21%
WINTobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau1.71-4.66%
WINPPJ U21 - Atlantis U211.67-9.21%
LOSSMoss - Raufoss1.68-4.66%
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Pick
1 @ 1.71
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Starts in 4d 9h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
Torna in alto