San Martin SJ vs Atletico Rafaela
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is San Martin SJ. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: San Martin SJGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.021 | A: -0.135Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.94. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to San Martin SJ's attacking profile.
San Martin SJ – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Tamworth - Macclesfield | 1.86 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Fortaleza - Botafogo SP | 1.84 | 1.31% |
| WIN | UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Neftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan | 1.78 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Police AC - Aryan FC | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CA Tigre - Nacional De Football | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cruzeiro - Botafogo | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Asane Fotball U19 - Sandefjord U19 | 1 | 2.09 | 1.04% | 29 Jul 13:00 |
| Stromsgodset U19 - Tromso U19 | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 29 Jul 17:30 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 01:00 |
| Forward Madison FC - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 02:00 |
| Instituto AC Cordoba - Platense | 1 | 2.13 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 02:30 |