Malaga vs Al Ittihad Jeddah
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Malaga. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MalagaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.026 | A: 0.081Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Malaga has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Malaga – Al Ittihad Jeddah Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | JPS - FCJ Blackbird | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Nueva Chicago Reserves - CA Colegiales Reserves | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | AEK Athens - Samsunspor | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Girona - CD Castellon | 2.18 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Stromsgodset U19 - Tromso U19 | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Asane Fotball U19 - Sandefjord U19 | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Forward Madison FC - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Macclesfield | 1.86 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Sabah FC U20 - Negeri Sembilan U20 | 1 | 1.81 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 10:15 |
| Nacional Asuncion Reserves - Olimpia Asuncion Reserves | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 13:30 |
| FC Ilves - Stjarnan | 1 | 1.79 | 1.31% | 30 Jul 18:00 |
| FC Andorra - CE Europa | 1 | 1.91 | 1.31% | 30 Jul 19:00 |
| Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20 | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 23:30 |