Nacional Asuncion Reserves vs Olimpia Asuncion Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nacional Asuncion Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nacional Asuncion ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.015 | A: 0.000Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Reserve League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Nacional Asuncion Reserves a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Nacional Asuncion Reserves – Olimpia Asuncion Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | JPS - FCJ Blackbird | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | AEK Athens - Samsunspor | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Girona - CD Castellon | 2.18 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Asane Fotball U19 - Sandefjord U19 | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Forward Madison FC - Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Tamworth - Macclesfield | 1.86 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Fortaleza - Botafogo SP | 1.84 | 1.31% |
| WIN | UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U20 | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 23:30 |
| Independiente Rivadavia - Huracan | 1 | 2.24 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 00:00 |
| Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 00:30 |
| CD Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 22:00 |
| Golden Arrows - Chippa United | 1 | 2.03 | 1.31% | 01 Aug 15:30 |