Sunderland – Wrexham

Model: TIPPSH

Sunderland vs Wrexham

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 43m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sunderland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SunderlandGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.036 | A: 0.060

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current2.11Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds1.98Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SunderlandHOME
VS
WrexhamAWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
LWWDD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.60
Home splitL-W-D-L-W0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Sunderland has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 24.3% 7D: 1.5% 15D: 10.4% 30D: 8.6%
Model insight

Sunderland – Wrexham Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample511
Win Rate48.3%
Profit-23.54u
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Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 49m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 43m ago
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