Denver Summit FC (W) – North Carolina Courage (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Denver Summit FC (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 06, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 17h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Denver Summit FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Denver Summit FC (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.049 | A: -0.119

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Denver Summit FC (W)HOME
VS
North Carolina Courage (W)AWAY
DLWDL
Recent form
WLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.00
Shots on target for
4.60
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
5.80
Home splitD-W-D-L-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.20
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 40.7% 7D: 15.7% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 11.4%
Model insight

Denver Summit FC (W) – North Carolina Courage (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample374
Win Rate47.1%
Profit+2.34u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTorque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves1.991.04%
LOSSReal Frontera - Atletico El Vigia2.041.04%
LOSSRacing Club (W) - Boca Juniors (W)2.161.31%
LOSSBollstanäs SK - IK Franke2.101.31%
WINAragua - Bolivar SC2.301.59%
WINSpartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa2.221.04%
WINUdelas FC - San Francisco Reserves2.411.59%
WINLens - Villarreal2.041.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Ago 06, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Starts in 1d 17h
Updated
Updated 2h 7m ago
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