Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aberystwyth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AberystwythGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.027 | A: -0.092Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Aberystwyth – Treowen Stars Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19 | 1.73 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern | 1.62 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Vicenza - Catania | 1.72 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Celta Fortuna - UD Ourense | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Fana - Gneist | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Real Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U20 | 1.69 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W) | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Avondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W) | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| FC Fredericia - Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 15:00 |
| Rotor Volgograd - FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 17:30 |
| Quilmes - Almagro | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 09 Aug 22:00 |
| Philadelphia Union - Necaxa | 1 | 1.73 | -4.66% | 10 Aug 01:30 |
| FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1 | 1.65 | -7.35% | 10 Aug 17:45 |