MFK Vitkovice – MFK Havirov

Model: TIPPSH

MFK Vitkovice vs MFK Havirov

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MFK Vitkovice. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MFK VitkoviceGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.045 | A: -0.062

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MFK VitkoviceHOME
VS
MFK HavirovAWAY
DLWWW
Recent form
DLDLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.00
Shots on target for
8.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
5.20
Home splitD-W-L-W-D2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia 3. Liga (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.05
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives MFK Vitkovice a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to MFK Vitkovice's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 9.4% 7D: 14.6% 15D: 5.4% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

MFK Vitkovice – MFK Havirov Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample554
Win Rate48.9%
Profit-6.87u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCoatepeque FC - Juventud Copalera1.871.04%
WINBasel - FC Thun1.811.04%
LOSSCS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán2.061.04%
WINPolice AC - Rainbow AC1.931.31%
WINAlemannia Aachen - Verl2.171.04%
LOSSFC Probiy Horodenka - FC Chernigiv2.221.04%
WINFortaleza CEIF - Cucuta Deportivo1.821.04%
LOSSGyirmot SE - Kazincbarcikai BSC2.071.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 1d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago
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