Model: TIPPSH

Real Brasilia U20 vs Samambaia U20

PREDICTION

@ 1.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 1d ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.89% · n=63

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Real Brasilia U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Real Brasilia U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.174 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.70First seen

Current1.70Now

Max odds1.70Highest point

Min odds1.69Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Real Brasilia U20HOME

Samambaia U20AWAY

WDWWW

Recent form

LDW

Avg goals scored

3.20

1.33

Defensive weakness

0.00

0.67

Shots on target for

10.60

4.33

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.67

Home splitW-W-W-W5.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.89% based on n=63 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Brasiliense U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.70

V2 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63

V4 BandNONEROI -9.89% · n=63

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Real Brasilia U20, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Real Brasilia U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 23.7% 7D: 18.0% 15D: 8.6% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Real Brasilia U20 – Samambaia U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -9.89% and -9.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample326

Win Rate61.0%

Profit+8.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Astana - Okzhetpes Kokshetau	1.65	-4.66%
WIN	Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19	1.73	-7.35%
LOSS	Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern	1.62	-9.21%
LOSS	Vicenza - Catania	1.72	-9.21%
WIN	Celta Fortuna - UD Ourense	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Fana - Gneist	1.65	-9.21%
WIN	Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W)	1.68	-6.04%
WIN	Avondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W)	1.69	-9.21%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

1 @ 1.70

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.89% • n=63

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-9.89% • n=63

Start

Started 1d ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago