Fana – Gneist

Model: TIPPSH

Fana vs Gneist

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.65
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 08, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 1d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FanaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: -0.056

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.41First seen
Current1.65Now
Max odds1.65Highest point
Min odds1.41Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FanaHOME
VS
GneistAWAY
WLWLW
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
3.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
2.40
3.20
Shots on target for
4.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.80
Home splitW-W-W-L-D3.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-D1.60 scored / 3.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 3 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.65
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 23.7% 7D: 18.0% 15D: 8.6% 30D: 11.5%
Model insight

Fana – Gneist Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample326
Win Rate61.0%
Profit+8.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Astana - Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.65-4.66%
WINEnvigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U191.73-7.35%
LOSSWolfsburg - Kaiserslautern1.62-9.21%
LOSSVicenza - Catania1.72-9.21%
WINCelta Fortuna - UD Ourense1.68-9.21%
WINReal Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U201.69-9.89%
WINBayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W)1.68-6.04%
WINAvondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W)1.69-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.65
Kickoff
Ago 08, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 1d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago
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