Model: TIPPSH

Young Boys II vs Lugano II

PREDICTION

@ 1.66

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 15h 1m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Young Boys II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Young Boys IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.143 | A: -0.086

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.62First seen

Current1.66Now

Max odds1.66Highest point

Min odds1.62Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Young Boys IIHOME

Lugano IIAWAY

LDLLL

Recent form

LLDDL

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.60

2.40

Shots on target for

5.60

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

7.80

Home splitD-L-D-L-L1.20 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L-D1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.66

V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Young Boys II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 23.5% 7D: 18.5% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Young Boys II – Lugano II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample323

Win Rate61.0%

Profit+7.84u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Envigado U19 - Belen Arco Zaragoza U19	1.73	-7.35%
LOSS	Wolfsburg - Kaiserslautern	1.62	-9.21%
LOSS	Vicenza - Catania	1.72	-9.21%
WIN	Celta Fortuna - UD Ourense	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Fana - Gneist	1.65	-9.21%
WIN	Real Brasilia U20 - Samambaia U20	1.69	-9.89%
WIN	Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Feyenoord (W)	1.68	-6.04%
WIN	Avondale FC (W) - South Melbourne (W)	1.69	-9.21%

Active Similar Predictions

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FK Transinvest - Panevezys	1	1.65	-7.35%	10 Aug 17:45

Pick

1 @ 1.66

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-10.11% • n=160

Start

Starts in 15h 1m

Updated

Updated 12m ago