Model: TIPPSH

76 Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih Karagumruk

PREDICTION

@ 2.45

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 18h 22m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is 76 Igdir Belediyespor. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: 76 Igdir BelediyesporGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.45Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.41Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

76 Igdir BelediyesporHOME

Fatih KaragumrukAWAY

DLDWL

Recent form

WWWDL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.60

Shots on target for

5.00

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.20

Home splitD-D-L1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded

Away splitW-D-L0.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Türkiye 1 Lig (tr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.45

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor 76 Igdir Belediyespor. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. 76 Igdir Belediyespor is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 14.3% 7D: 17.7% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

76 Igdir Belediyespor – Fatih Karagumruk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample216

Win Rate42.6%

Profit+2.37u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	KF Fjallabyggd - KV Vesturbaer	2.57	1.59%
WIN	Vasas SC - Zalaegerszegi TE	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	Minas Boca U20 - EC Villa Real U20	2.45	1.41%
LOSS	Ursus Warsawa - MKS Piaseczno	2.26	1.59%
LOSS	Honiara City FC - Malaita Kingz	2.32	1.59%
WIN	FC Karlovy Vary - Sokol Hostoun	2.36	1.59%
LOSS	Kvik Halden FK - Mjondalen	2.52	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.45

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 18h 22m

Updated

Updated 11m ago