Model: TIPPSH
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.35
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 16m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sevilla. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SevillaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.028 | A: -0.018Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
34/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.35First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
SevillaHOME
VS
Rayo VallecanoAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.00
Shots on target for
3.20
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
5.40
Home splitW-W-L-W-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain La Liga (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.35
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Sevilla a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -47.2%
7D: 5.9%
15D: 7.8%
30D: 9.8%
Model insight
Sevilla – Rayo Vallecano Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample309
Win Rate44.3%
Profit+1.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Real Jaen - Cacereno | 2.25 | 1.41% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20 | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | SalPa 2 - LTU | 2.57 | 1.59% |
| WIN | New York City FC II - Orlando City II | 2.14 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W) | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II | 2.32 | 1.59% |
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Pick
1 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 4d
Updated
Updated 5h 16m ago