HNK Segesta vs NK Dubrava Zagreb
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is HNK Segesta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: HNK SegestaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.135 | A: -0.099Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. HNK Segesta is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
HNK Segesta – NK Dubrava Zagreb Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Loughborough University - Belper Town | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Sestao River | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands | 2.55 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Norrby IF - Orebro SK | 2.26 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | FC Spartak Velka Bites - TJ Tatran Bohunice | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Bolivar | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Auckland FC II - East Coast Bays | 2.50 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Apollon Limassol - SK Brann | 2.29 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC | 1 | 2.33 | 2.49% | 14 Aug 19:25 |
| ASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio | 1 | 2.42 | 2.49% | 14 Aug 21:00 |
| North Star - Caboolture FC | 1 | 2.29 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 08:15 |
| Stoke - Swansea | 1 | 2.43 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Barnet - Salford City | 1 | 2.38 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Bedford Town - Darlington 1883 | 1 | 2.56 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Rostov - Rubin Kazan | 1 | 2.20 | 3.37% | 15 Aug 17:30 |
| Sheff Utd - Birmingham | 1 | 2.62 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 18:30 |