HNK Segesta – NK Dubrava Zagreb

Model: TIPPSH

HNK Segesta vs NK Dubrava Zagreb

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.45
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 6h 11m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HNK Segesta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HNK SegestaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.135 | A: -0.099

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current2.46Now
Max odds3.27Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HNK SegestaHOME
VS
NK Dubrava ZagrebAWAY
DWDWW
Recent form
LLDLL
Avg goals scored
3.80
0.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.00
Shots on target for
7.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
4.80
Home splitW-W-W-L-W3.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W-W1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.45
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. HNK Segesta is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -7.6% 7D: 4.1% 15D: 11.4% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

HNK Segesta – NK Dubrava Zagreb Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample143
Win Rate46.9%
Profit+17.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLoughborough University - Belper Town2.702.49%
LOSSGimnastica de Torrelavega - Sestao River2.402.49%
WINLancaster City - Warrington Rylands2.552.49%
WINNorrby IF - Orebro SK2.263.15%
LOSSFC Spartak Velka Bites - TJ Tatran Bohunice2.253.15%
LOSSClub Aurora - Bolivar2.702.49%
WINAuckland FC II - East Coast Bays2.502.49%
LOSSApollon Limassol - SK Brann2.292.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Yarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC12.332.49%14 Aug 19:25
ASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio12.422.49%14 Aug 21:00
North Star - Caboolture FC12.292.49%15 Aug 08:15
Stoke - Swansea12.433.15%15 Aug 16:00
Barnet - Salford City12.383.15%15 Aug 16:00
Bedford Town - Darlington 188312.562.49%15 Aug 16:00
Rostov - Rubin Kazan12.203.37%15 Aug 17:30
Sheff Utd - Birmingham12.622.49%15 Aug 18:30
Pick
1 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 6h 11m
Updated
Updated 12m ago
Torna in alto