Model: TIPPSH
Suchitepequez vs Marquense
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 21h 17m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 13h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Suchitepequez. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SuchitepequezGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.057 | A: -0.065Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current1.98Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
SuchitepequezHOME
VS
MarquenseAWAY
LLDWL
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.80
Shots on target for
1.80
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.40
Home splitD-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.40 scored / 2.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Guatemala Liga Nacional (gt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.98
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Suchitepequez. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -32.0%
7D: -9.8%
15D: 7.3%
30D: 6.5%
Model insight
Suchitepequez – Marquense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample710
Win Rate50.6%
Profit-6.19u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21 | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Rio Verde - Goianesia | 2.02 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Raufoss - Asane | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - FC Tirsense | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W) | 1.91 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Molde - Tromso | 2.11 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Los Angeles FC II - Tacoma Defiance | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| WIN | US Hostert - FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.95 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Larne Reserves - Crusaders Reserves | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 17 Aug 21:00 |
| Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir Reykjavik | 1 | 2.20 | 1.31% | 17 Aug 21:15 |
| Deportes Copiapo - Curico Unido | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 18 Aug 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 21h 17m ago
Updated
Updated 3d 13h ago