Model: TIPPSA

MFK Skalica vs FC Kosice

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 4

StartStarted 2h 45m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Kosice. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC KosiceGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.203 | A: -0.036

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.17Now

Max odds2.55Highest point

Min odds1.96Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MFK SkalicaHOME

FC KosiceAWAY

LWWDW

Recent form

WDDWD

Avg goals scored

2.20

2.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.00

Shots on target for

4.60

7.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

5.60

Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-D-D2.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovakia Super Liga (sk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.17

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Kosice is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -12.1% 7D: -12.1% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 6.6%

Model insight

MFK Skalica – FC Kosice Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample130

Win Rate51.5%

Profit+13.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Pacos Ferreira - Paredes	2.38	0.84%
LOSS	Puchov - Spartak Myjava	2.39	0.84%
LOSS	Bamber Bridge - Ashton Utd	2.09	1.21%
WIN	Vag FK - Mandalskameratene	2.10	1.21%
LOSS	Tobol Kostanay - Partizan Belgrade	2.24	1.21%
LOSS	FK Macva Sabac - IMT Novi Belgrade	2.06	1.76%
LOSS	Barcelona Guayaquil (W) - LDU Quito (W)	2.13	1.21%
WIN	Viimsi JK (W) - Paide Linnanaiskond (W)	2.10	1.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2	2.04	1.21%	15 Aug 23:30

Pick

2 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 2h 45m ago

Updated

Updated 10h 39m ago