Deportivo Saprissa – Cartagines

Model: TIPPSH

Deportivo Saprissa vs Cartagines

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 16h 35m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Saprissa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo SaprissaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.076 | A: 0.000

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.81First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.84Highest point
Min odds1.66Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo SaprissaHOME
VS
CartaginesAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LDWLD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
5.80
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
3.20
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-D-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Costa Rica Primera Division (cr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.68
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Deportivo Saprissa as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Deportivo Saprissa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.8% 7D: -22.4% 15D: 0.6% 30D: 3.9%
Model insight

Deportivo Saprissa – Cartagines Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample370
Win Rate62.2%
Profit+16.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAland United (W) - HPS (W)1.71-10.11%
WINONS (W) - HJK II (W)1.65-7.35%
WINOdd II - Hinna1.64-9.21%
WINCD Constitucion Unido - Puente Alto1.68-9.21%
LOSSMorocco (W) - Algeria (W)1.69-9.21%
LOSSBradford - Peterborough1.65-7.35%
WINMacclesfield - Radcliffe FC1.63-9.21%
WINBury - Warrington Rylands1.70-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.68
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 16h 35m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 39m ago
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