KT Reykjavik (W) – Dalvik/Reynir (W)

Model: TIPPSH

KT Reykjavik (W) vs Dalvik/Reynir (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 5
StartStarted 1d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KT Reykjavik (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KT Reykjavik (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.002

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.35Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KT Reykjavik (W)HOME
VS
Dalvik/Reynir (W)AWAY
LW
Recent form
WWWLL
Avg goals scored
3.50
2.00
Defensive weakness
3.00
2.20
Shots on target for
10.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
7.20
Home splitL3.00 scored / 5.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L2.33 scored / 3.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild Women. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.35
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. KT Reykjavik (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -24.1% 7D: -18.7% 15D: -1.2% 30D: 3.5%
Model insight

KT Reykjavik (W) – Dalvik/Reynir (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample205
Win Rate43.4%
Profit+0.47u
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WINMoreton City Excelsior U23 - Lions FC U232.352.49%
WINOldham - Port Vale2.603.15%
LOSSTorslanda IK - Dalstorps IF2.352.49%
LOSSASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio2.422.49%
LOSSYarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC2.332.49%
WINNorth Star - Caboolture FC2.292.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 1d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
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