Model: TIPPSH

Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse

PREDICTION

@ 1.62

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 18h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 20h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cherno More Varna. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cherno More VarnaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.189 | A: -0.015

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cherno More VarnaHOME

Dunav RuseAWAY

LLLLD

Recent form

WLLLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.80

Shots on target for

4.60

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

8.00

Home splitL-L-D-W-L1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.62

V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010

V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cherno More Varna's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.8% 7D: -18.7% 15D: -2.9% 30D: 2.6%

Model insight

Cherno More Varna – Dunav Ruse Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.62. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample374

Win Rate62.0%

Profit+15.39u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Spartak Kostroma - FC Ufa	1.70	-9.21%
WIN	Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora	1.66	-4.66%
WIN	Aland United (W) - HPS (W)	1.71	-10.11%
WIN	ONS (W) - HJK II (W)	1.65	-7.35%
WIN	Leiknir Reykjavik - KF Aegir	1.65	-9.21%
WIN	Odd II - Hinna	1.64	-9.21%
WIN	CD Constitucion Unido - Puente Alto	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Morocco (W) - Algeria (W)	1.69	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.62

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 10:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-7.35% • n=1010

Start

Starts in 3d 18h

Updated

Updated 20h 45m ago