Model: TIPPSH

FC Dordrecht vs Roda JC

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 22h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Dordrecht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC DordrechtGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: -0.055

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.68First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.68Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC DordrechtHOME

Roda JCAWAY

DWLWW

Recent form

WLLDD

Avg goals scored

2.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.40

Shots on target for

8.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

5.40

Home splitW-L-W-W-L2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W-D2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.60

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Dordrecht has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. FC Dordrecht has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -14.8% 7D: -18.7% 15D: -2.9% 30D: 2.6%

Model insight

FC Dordrecht – Roda JC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample162

Win Rate38.3%

Profit-7.48u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Athens Kallithea - Larissa	2.72	1.59%
WIN	Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	2.53	1.59%
LOSS	Ulsan HD - Gangwon FC	2.52	1.59%
WIN	Juventude de Evora - Alcochetense	2.51	1.59%
WIN	Volsungur - IF Vestri	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Pacatuba - Esporte Limoeiro	2.44	1.59%
WIN	JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Gualaceo SC - Atletico FC Guayaquil	2.61	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 3d 22h

Updated

Updated 5m ago