Model: TipA1

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Argentino de Rosario Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 5h 5m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Argentino de Rosario Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Argentino de Rosario ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.129 | A: -0.004

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

21/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.12Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds2.11Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo Paraguayo ReservesHOME

Argentino de Rosario ReservesAWAY

DLWLL

Recent form

DWDWL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.00

Shots on target for

3.60

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

2.40

Home splitD-L-L-W-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Argentino de Rosario Reserves has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -2.5% 7D: -17.2% 15D: -2.3% 30D: 2.4%

Model insight

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves – Argentino de Rosario Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample222

Win Rate47.7%

Profit-1.90u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Haka Juniors - TP-T	2.10	-1.35%
WIN	Liverpool Montevideo Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	GD Portel - SU Sintrense	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	Nara Club - Kagoshima United	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	SPG Edelserpentin - SV Eberau	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	KFC Komarno B - FK Nove Zamky	2.20	-3.85%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691

Start

Started 5h 5m ago

Updated

Updated 16h 39m ago