Model: TipA1

Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 20, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 2h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chicago Fire. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chicago FireGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: 0.090

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

21/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.22First seen

Current2.22Now

Max odds2.23Highest point

Min odds2.21Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Orlando City SCHOME

Chicago FireAWAY

DDLWL

Recent form

WWWWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.20

Shots on target for

4.20

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

4.60

Home splitD-D-L-W-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-W2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Chicago Fire is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -22.4% 7D: -14.0% 15D: 5.7% 30D: 6.1%

Model insight

Orlando City SC – Chicago Fire Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample218

Win Rate47.7%

Profit-2.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	GD Portel - SU Sintrense	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	Nara Club - Kagoshima United	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	SPG Edelserpentin - SV Eberau	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	KFC Komarno B - FK Nove Zamky	2.20	-3.85%
WIN	Cristobal Colon JAS - 12 de Octubre	2.00	-1.48%
WIN	Vaxjo (W) - Djurgardens (W)	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	RiPS - TuPS	2.00	-1.48%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2	2.20	-1.48%	17 Aug 00:45
Liverpool Montevideo Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves	2	2.05	-3.85%	17 Aug 16:00
Belen Arco Zaragoza - Molino Viejo	2	2.10	-1.48%	17 Aug 19:00

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 20, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691

Start

Starts in 3d 2h

Updated

Updated 9m ago