Model: TIPPSH
Operario PR vs Vila Nova
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.11
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 24, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 13h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 7h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Operario PR. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Operario PRGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.132 | A: 0.004Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.11Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.96Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Operario PRHOME
VS
Vila NovaAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.80
Shots on target for
4.00
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
3.80
Home splitL-L-W-W-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.11
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 55.9%
7D: 1.9%
15D: 4.6%
30D: 3.7%
Model insight
Operario PR – Vila Nova Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample657
Win Rate47.8%
Profit-7.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NuPS - LePa | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Giugliano - Scafatese | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SC Fürstenfeld - TUS Bad Waltersdorf | 2.15 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Cracovia Krakow - Wieczysta Krakow | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sportfreunde Siegen - Borussia M'gladbach II | 2.21 | 1.31% |
| WIN | FK Mornar Bar - Buducnost Podgorica | 2.03 | 1.04% |
| WIN | HooGee - EPS Reservi | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| FC Cajamarca - Atletico Grau | 1 | 2.34 | 1.59% | 21 Aug 19:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Bulls FC Academy - Canterbury Bankstown FC | 1 | 2.30 | 1.59% | 22 Aug 09:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.11
Kickoff
Ago 24, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1d 13h
Updated
Updated 1d 7h ago