Comercial U20 vs Rio Branco SP U20
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Rio Branco SP U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Rio Branco SP U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.038 | A: 0.078Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.70% based on n=81 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista Serie B U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Rio Branco SP U20. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Rio Branco SP U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Comercial U20 – Rio Branco SP U20 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | KKS 1925 Kalisz - Notec Czarnkow | 3.90 | 4.73% |
| LOSS | Nestos Chrisoupolis - Apollon Kalamarias | 4.10 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | FK Graficar Beograd - Loznica | 3.75 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent | 3.75 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Växjö Norra - Staffanstorp United | 3.90 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | ADO '20 - USV Hercules | 3.75 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Zaglebie Lubin II - Rakow Czestochowa II | 3.90 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Blooming - Club Aurora | 4.20 | 4.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clachnacuddin - Nairn County | 2 | 4.20 | 4.37% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| KF Shkendija Haracine - KF Arsimi | 2 | 3.75 | 2.27% | 22 Aug 16:30 |
| Deportivo Maipu - Quilmes | 2 | 3.75 | 4.37% | 22 Aug 22:00 |