Model: TIPPSH

INAC Leonessa (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.41

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 14h 35m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is INAC Leonessa (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: INAC Leonessa (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.48First seen

Current2.41Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

INAC Leonessa (W)HOME

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)AWAY

WLWWW

Recent form

LWDWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.60

Shots on target for

7.60

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.00

Home splitW-L-W-W2.25 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W-L1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.41. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan Women Empowerment League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.41

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for INAC Leonessa (W). The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. INAC Leonessa (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 18.0% 7D: 8.7% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 3.1%

Model insight

INAC Leonessa (W) – Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.41. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample339

Win Rate41.3%

Profit-10.27u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	AC Taverne - FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	2.20	1.04%
WIN	Leon U19 - Monterrey U19	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Roosendaal - FC Lisse	2.65	1.59%
LOSS	NK Bilje - NK Bistrica	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	Needham Market - Halesowen	2.37	1.59%
WIN	Madla - Vidar	2.47	1.41%
LOSS	Rade IL - Follo	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Bulls FC Academy - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.30	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.41

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 14h 35m ago

Updated

Updated 16h 39m ago