Chaves vs AVS
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chaves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChavesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.228 | A: -0.016Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Chaves – AVS Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Tauro FC Reserves - Alianza FC Reserves | 1.78 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportes Linares - Santiago City | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| WIN | AC Taverne - FC Wettswil-Bonstetten | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Leon U19 - Monterrey U19 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | CE Bento Goncalves - GE Bage | 1.77 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - GV San Jose | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Estoril - Rio Ave | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| WIN | NK Vrhnika - ND Dravinja | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |