Model: TIPPSH

FC Gifu vs Tokushima Vortis

PREDICTION

@ 2.49

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 02, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 6h 30m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Gifu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC GifuGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.191 | A: 0.101

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.49Now

Max odds2.49Highest point

Min odds2.31Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC GifuHOME

Tokushima VortisAWAY

WLDWW

Recent form

WWLDL

Avg goals scored

3.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.80

Shots on target for

5.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

4.60

Home splitW-W-W-D-L3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-D1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League Cup (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.49

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Gifu's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 9.4% 7D: 2.9% 15D: 17.4% 30D: 7.4%

Model insight

FC Gifu – Tokushima Vortis Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample315

Win Rate42.5%

Profit+7.59u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Stal Rzeszow - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	2.71	1.59%
WIN	Osasuna - Getafe	2.27	1.59%
LOSS	Cienciano - Cusco FC	2.38	1.59%
WIN	CSD Flandria - San Martin De Burzaco	2.28	1.59%
LOSS	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	2.24	1.04%
LOSS	Szentlorinc SE - FC Ajka	2.49	1.59%
WIN	Universidad Catolica (W) - Universidad de Chile (W)	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Aguilas - Alcorcon	2.67	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.49

Kickoff

Set 02, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 6h 30m

Updated

Updated 11m ago