Model: TIPPSH

Pachuca U21 vs Chivas Guadalajara U21

PREDICTION

@ 1.95

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 7:15 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 16h 13m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 18h 22m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pachuca U21. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pachuca U21Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: 0.010

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current1.95Now

Max odds2.00Highest point

Min odds1.85Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pachuca U21HOME

Chivas Guadalajara U21AWAY

DDLDW

Recent form

DLWDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

5.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.60

Home splitD-L-W-D-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-D-D0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico U21 League (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.95

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Pachuca U21 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 1.2% 7D: 24.7% 15D: 17.0% 30D: 12.3%

Model insight

Pachuca U21 – Chivas Guadalajara U21 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample870

Win Rate48.9%

Profit-40.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Balzan FC - Gzira United	2.04	1.04%
WIN	Varzim - Trofense	1.87	1.04%
WIN	AEK Larnaca - Apoel Nicosia	1.87	1.04%
LOSS	Diyala FC - Al Jolan SC	2.11	1.04%
WIN	Pachuca U19 - Chivas Guadalajara U19	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	2.17	1.04%
WIN	Neftchi Fergana - Pakhtakor Tashkent	1.85	1.04%
LOSS	Veertien Mie - Vonds Ichihara	2.00	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.95

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 7:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 16h 13m ago

Updated

Updated 18h 22m ago