Model: TIPPSH

Diyala FC vs Al Jolan SC

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 7:45 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 3

StartStarted 15h 44m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 18h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Diyala FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Diyala FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.001 | A: 0.005

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.11Now

Max odds2.14Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Diyala FCHOME

Al Jolan SCAWAY

DDLWW

Recent form

DLWDL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

4.60

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.40

Home splitD-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iraq Stars League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.11

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Diyala FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 3.3% 7D: 17.7% 15D: 18.8% 30D: 11.8%

Model insight

Diyala FC – Al Jolan SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample781

Win Rate46.4%

Profit-31.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Balzan FC - Gzira United	2.04	1.04%
WIN	Varzim - Trofense	1.87	1.04%
WIN	AEK Larnaca - Apoel Nicosia	1.87	1.04%
WIN	Pachuca U19 - Chivas Guadalajara U19	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Chivas Guadalajara U21	1.93	1.31%
LOSS	SK Stonava - FC Vratimov	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	SC Villa - Kitara FC	2.30	1.41%
LOSS	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	2.17	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 7:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 15h 44m ago

Updated

Updated 18h 11m ago