Model: TipA1

Belen Arco Zaragoza vs Molino Viejo

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 1h 46m ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Molino Viejo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Molino ViejoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: 0.094

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

21/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current2.19Now

Max odds2.19Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Belen Arco ZaragozaHOME

Molino ViejoAWAY

WDLLD

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

4.80

8.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

3.80

Home splitL-D1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitW3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Regional League (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Molino Viejo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -22.8% 7D: -20.8% 15D: -3.5% 30D: 2.1%

Model insight

Belen Arco Zaragoza – Molino Viejo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample220

Win Rate47.7%

Profit-2.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Liverpool Montevideo Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves	2.05	-3.85%
LOSS	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	GD Portel - SU Sintrense	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	Nara Club - Kagoshima United	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	SPG Edelserpentin - SV Eberau	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	KFC Komarno B - FK Nove Zamky	2.20	-3.85%
WIN	Cristobal Colon JAS - 12 de Octubre	2.00	-1.48%

Active Similar Predictions

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Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Argentino de Rosario Reserves	2	2.10	-1.48%	18 Aug 19:00
Orlando City SC - Chicago Fire	2	2.15	-1.48%	20 Aug 01:30

Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691

Start

Started 1h 46m ago

Updated

Updated 13h 20m ago