Model: TIPPSH

Araguaina vs Porto Velho EC

PREDICTION

@ 2.31

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 49d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 50d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Araguaina. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Araguaina

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.45First seen

Current2.31Now

Max odds2.45Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AraguainaHOME

Porto Velho ECAWAY

DLWWL

Recent form

DDWDD

Avg goals scored

3.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

3.60

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.60

Home splitD-W-L-D-D2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-D-L-L0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.31. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.31

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 36.1% 7D: 37.0% 15D: 23.4% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Araguaina – Porto Velho EC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample182

Win Rate45.6%

Profit+2.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Fremantle City FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W)	2.25	1.59%
LOSS	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W)	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC	2.28	1.59%
LOSS	Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes	2.10	1.04%
WIN	Nublense - O'Higgins	2.39	1.41%
LOSS	Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon	2.06	1.04%

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Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
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Pick

1 @ 2.31

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 49d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 50d 2h ago