Retro FC Brasil vs Lagarto
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Retro FC Brasil. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Retro FC BrasilValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Retro FC Brasil a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Retro FC Brasil has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Retro FC Brasil – Lagarto Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Botafogo PB - AD Confianca | 2.02 | 1.31% |
| WIN | GAIS - Elfsborg | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II | 1.89 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |