Model: TIPPSH
Audax Italiano vs Union La Calera
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 6h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Audax Italiano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Audax ItalianoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.038 | A: 0.012Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current1.93Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Audax ItalianoHOME
VS
Union La CaleraAWAY
DDWLW
Recent form
LLWLD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.80
Shots on target for
4.40
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
6.60
Home splitD-L-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Liga de Primera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.93
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Audax Italiano a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -2.6%
7D: -15.1%
15D: -1.8%
30D: 2.2%
Model insight
Audax Italiano – Union La Calera Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample688
Win Rate51.6%
Profit+2.13u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | HooGee - EPS Reservi | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gramadense - Lajeadense | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Aryan FC - Measurers Club | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CD Lara - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| WIN | 24 de Setiembre - Silvio Pettirossi | 1.79 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.82 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Concarneau - Villefranche | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 20:45 |
| Atletico Morelia - Correcaminos | 1 | 1.80 | 1.31% | 21 Aug 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 1d 6h
Updated
Updated 10m ago