CD Diocesano U19 – UD La Cruz Villanovense U19

Model: TIPPSA

CD Diocesano U19 vs UD La Cruz Villanovense U19

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 76d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 76d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UD La Cruz Villanovense U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UD La Cruz Villanovense U19

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

82/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.25First seen
Current4.52Now
Max odds4.52Highest point
Min odds4.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Diocesano U19HOME
VS
UD La Cruz Villanovense U19AWAY
WLLL
Recent form
LLLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.75
2.50
Shots on target for
3.25
4.33
SoT conceded pressure
7.25
5.00
Home splitW-L-L1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitL-L-L1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.40. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.80% based on n=30 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Youth League (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.40
V2 BandNONEROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 BandELITEROI 10.80% · n=30
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor UD La Cruz Villanovense U19. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. UD La Cruz Villanovense U19 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 8.6% 7D: 3.5% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 16.1%
Model insight

CD Diocesano U19 – UD La Cruz Villanovense U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLyon - Lens4.60-0.38%
LOSSDijon - US Orleans 454.50-0.38%
LOSSZira IK - FK Gabala4.44-2.42%
WINGetafe - Rayo Vallecano4.53-0.38%
WINBodrum FK - Sariyer4.33-0.38%
LOSSFC Utrecht - NAC4.30-0.38%
LOSSJacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas4.42-0.38%
LOSSDeportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W)4.28-2.42%
Pick
2 @ 4.40
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.80% • n=30
Start
Started 76d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 76d 20h ago
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