Model: TIPPSA
CD Diocesano U19 – UD La Cruz Villanovense U19
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 31d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | CD Diocesano U19 | UD La Cruz Villanovense U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L | L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L (home) | L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.25 for / 7.25 against | 4.33 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.67 for / 6.33 against (home) | 4.33 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. UD La Cruz Villanovense U19 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.25First seen
Current4.52Now
Max odds4.52Highest point
Min odds4.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
CD Diocesano U19 – UD La Cruz Villanovense U19 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lyon - Lens | 4.60 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Dijon - US Orleans 45 | 4.50 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Zira IK - FK Gabala | 4.44 | -2.42% |
| WIN | Getafe - Rayo Vallecano | 4.53 | -0.38% |
| WIN | Bodrum FK - Sariyer | 4.33 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | FC Utrecht - NAC | 4.30 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas | 4.42 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Deportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W) | 4.28 | -2.42% |
Pick
2 @ 4.40
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.80% • n=30
Start
Started 31d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 14h ago