Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo SP
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Criciuma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CriciumaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Criciuma showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Criciuma – Sao Bernardo SP Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Talleres Remedios Reserves - CA Colegiales Reserves | 1.66 | -6.04% |
| WIN | San Diego FC - Puebla | 1.62 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | Strabane Athletic (W) - Mid Ulster (W) | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Morocco (W) - Cameroon (W) | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | FC Iberia 1999 - Larne FC | 1.74 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Institute - Ballinamallard Utd | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Ards FC - Dundela | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Clydebank FC - Hibernian B | 1.70 | -9.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Neom SC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 14 Aug 18:50 |
| Chelsea - Real Sociedad | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 15:00 |
| Odense BK - AC Horsens | 1 | 1.69 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 14:00 |
| VJS Vantaa - JJK | 1 | 1.75 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 16:00 |
| Frosinone - Juve Stabia | 1 | 1.68 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 18:00 |
| FC Koper - NK Bravo | 1 | 1.71 | -4.66% | 16 Aug 20:15 |