Criciuma – Sao Bernardo SP

Model: TIPPSH

Criciuma vs Sao Bernardo SP

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 46d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Criciuma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CriciumaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.65First seen
Current1.70Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CriciumaHOME
VS
Sao Bernardo SPAWAY
WWDWW
Recent form
LLDWD
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
3.20
Home splitW-D-W-D-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.70
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Criciuma showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -10.2% 7D: -9.3% 15D: -7.5% 30D: -0.8%
Model insight

Criciuma – Sao Bernardo SP Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample339
Win Rate60.8%
Profit+6.98u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTalleres Remedios Reserves - CA Colegiales Reserves1.66-6.04%
WINSan Diego FC - Puebla1.62-4.66%
LOSSStrabane Athletic (W) - Mid Ulster (W)1.67-9.21%
LOSSMorocco (W) - Cameroon (W)1.71-7.35%
WINFC Iberia 1999 - Larne FC1.74-10.11%
LOSSInstitute - Ballinamallard Utd1.68-9.21%
LOSSArds FC - Dundela1.65-9.21%
WINClydebank FC - Hibernian B1.70-9.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.70
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 46d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 3h ago
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