Dag & Red vs Buxton
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Dag & Red. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Dag & RedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.080 | A: 0.054Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.54. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Dag & Red – Buxton Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Girona - CD Alaves | 2.45 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | SV Wienerberg - SC Wiener Viktoria | 2.75 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Chester - Stoke U21 | 2.36 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Crusaders - Glenavon | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Lucerne - FC Thun | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Hammarby - Anderlecht | 2.49 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Dynamo Kiev - PAOK Salonika | 2.54 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Belgrano - Rosario Central | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSK Zilina B - FC Petrzalka | 1 | 2.62 | 2.49% | 26 Jul 10:30 |
| Wisla Krakow - GKS Katowice | 1 | 2.38 | 2.49% | 26 Jul 20:15 |
| America MG - Goias | 1 | 2.54 | 2.49% | 26 Jul 23:30 |