Model: TIPPSH
Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Novopolotsk
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.74
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 31, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 9h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Dnepr Mogilev. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Dnepr MogilevGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.155 | A: 0.091Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
4/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.34First seen
Current1.83Now
Max odds2.34Highest point
Min odds1.64Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Dnepr MogilevHOME
VS
Naftan NovopolotskAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
DLLWL
Avg goals scored
2.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.20
Shots on target for
3.20
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.20
Home splitW-L-D-W-D1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-L1.40 scored / 3.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Belarus Premier League (by). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.74
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.0%
7D: -14.4%
15D: 6.8%
30D: 9.3%
Model insight
Dnepr Mogilev – Naftan Novopolotsk Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample260
Win Rate57.3%
Profit-9.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | UMF Selfoss - Dalvik/Reynir | 1.67 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves - Villa Dalmine Reserves | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Chungnam Asan FC - Siheung City AC | 1.72 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Crusaders - Newington FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum Zarafshon | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Club Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.72 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Honduras U20 - Jamaica U20 | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri | 1.75 | -7.35% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| FC Arges Pitesti - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 31 Jul 17:30 |
| LKS Lodz - Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 31 Jul 18:00 |
| Hume City - Melbourne City FC 2 | 1 | 1.73 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 06:00 |
| Slovan Liberec - FK Teplice | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 17:00 |
| Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United | 1 | 1.71 | -7.35% | 02 Aug 01:30 |
| IFK Goteborg - Degerfors | 1 | 1.74 | -7.35% | 02 Aug 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.74
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Starts in 1d 9h
Updated
Updated 7m ago