Model: TIPPSH

Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary

PREDICTION

@ 2.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 18h 28m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 20h 30m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fernando de la Mora. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fernando de la MoraGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.056 | A: -0.069

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.17Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.16Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fernando de la MoraHOME

TacuaryAWAY

DLWWW

Recent form

DLDLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

5.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

3.60

Home splitD-W-D-D-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Intermedia (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.17

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Fernando de la Mora's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 3.6% 7D: 22.7% 15D: 16.2% 30D: 12.3%

Model insight

Fernando de la Mora – Tacuary Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample704

Win Rate45.9%

Profit-20.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Balzan FC - Gzira United	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Diyala FC - Al Jolan SC	2.11	1.04%
WIN	Pachuca U19 - Chivas Guadalajara U19	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Pachuca U21 - Chivas Guadalajara U21	1.93	1.31%
LOSS	SK Stonava - FC Vratimov	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	SC Villa - Kitara FC	2.30	1.41%
WIN	Hanley Town - Coleshill Town	2.22	1.04%
LOSS	Veertien Mie - Vonds Ichihara	2.00	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.17

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Started 18h 28m ago

Updated

Updated 20h 30m ago