Model: TIPPSH

SC Villa vs Kitara FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 1d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Villa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC VillaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: -0.059

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.14First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC VillaHOME

Kitara FCAWAY

DDLWD

Recent form

DLDLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

5.00

1.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

5.00

Home splitD-L-D-W-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uganda Premier League (ug). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. SC Villa has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -8.0% 7D: 15.9% 15D: 13.3% 30D: 10.9%

Model insight

SC Villa – Kitara FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample578

Win Rate46.0%

Profit+13.96u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Atletico San Luis (W) - Atlas (W)	2.14	1.04%
LOSS	Cienciano - Cusco FC	2.38	1.59%
WIN	CSD Flandria - San Martin De Burzaco	2.28	1.59%
WIN	Juventud Unida San Miguel - Club Mercedes	2.22	1.31%
LOSS	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	2.24	1.04%
LOSS	Szentlorinc SE - FC Ajka	2.49	1.59%
WIN	Universidad Catolica (W) - Universidad de Chile (W)	2.43	1.59%
LOSS	Germinal de Rawson - Deportivo Rincon	2.35	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Started 1d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 23h ago

SC Villa vs Kitara FC

📊 Match Analysis

Game Context

Shots Rating

Shots on Target

Value Index

Odds Movement

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Quick Analysis

AI Match Insight

🔥 Best Tips Today

⚡ Combo Picks Today

SC Villa – Kitara FC Betting Analysis